Post Draft QB Thoughts…

Author – Bryan Trulen

Jay-Cutler.Vikings.400

With the 2017 draft and UDFA period coming to an end lets take a minute and assess the market.

Big name and other veterans( most were once starters) could be out of work for a while..  Jay Cutler, Robert Griffin III, Colin Kaepernick, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Blaine Gabbert, Ryan Nassib, Christian Ponder, Matt McGloin, Dan Orlovsky, Austin Davis and Thadeus Lewis.

With ten quarterbacks selected over the weekend via the draft and with free agent quarterbacks like Josh McCown, Brian Hoyer, Matt Barkley, Case Keenum, Mark Sanchez, Mike Glennon etc already signed with new teams there ae few if any openings currently around the league at the position. Injuries in August or during the year could change this obviously but dont’ expect much action on the market.

A part of me wants to believe that many of these current free agent quarterbacks will get a call fairly soon but the stark reality is more likely that their careers as professional quarterbacks at the highest level are likely over.

For In-Depth Reports on the 2017 College QB Class check out our  2017 College QB Prospect Guide

First Reaction, QB’s Round 1.

Author – Bryan Trulen

Image result for patrick mahomes chiefs

(Photo Credit – Houston Chronicle)

Thoughts on Trubisky going to Chicago Like most, I did not see the Bears selection of Mitchell Trubisky at #2 overall coming in advance, we had him pegged as our first QB off the board but I truly believe that Bears GM Ryan Pace sees Trubisky as a true developmental quarterback with a high ceiling. Mike Glennon was signed for a reason and he will remain the starter in 2017 but this pick shows us that Chicago feels really strongly about Trubisky, much like how Philly felt about Carson Wentz last year. I do not foresee Trubisky leap frogging Mike Glennon in 2017. The domino effect on the Bears QB room will be felt somewhere as the Bears will be bringing Trubisky, Glennon, Mark Sanchez and 4th year pro Connor Shaw to training camp in July.  Sanchez or Shaw will end up being cut at the end of training camp.

Patrick Mahomes goes to an ideal situation in KC Andy Reid gets a quarterback he is extremely high on. Reid is a known quarterback guru and puts them in positions to succeed in terms of scheme design, play calling and with how handles them from a communication perspective. Mahomes may be the biggest winner from Round 1. It is going to become very apparent once Mahomes gets to campus how big of a difference exists between him and Alex Smith in terms of arm talent. Mahomes should sit during 2017 but he is in a prime position to take over for Smith sooner rather than later.

Houston selects Deshaun Watson Texans HC Bill O’Brien and Rick Smith were on the same page with the selection of Watson at pick 12. Like Mahomes, Watson will be viewed as a #2 during his rookie year and will be on the developmental track. From a player perspective Watson gives the Texans and O’Brien something they have never had, an athletic quarterback who excels in a timing based passing system and as both O’Brien and Rick Smith stated during their press conference is a “Winner” . Watson displays elite level poise and is a big time performer in clutch situations. Watson has the internal structure in Houston to give him a chance to be highly successful.

Annual Quarterback Mock Draft (2017)

For In-Depth Tape Based Analysis on the Entire 2017 QB Class Check out our 

2017 College Prospect QB Guide

2017 Quarterback Mock Draft

Author – Bryan Trulen

Here it is! Our annual Quarterback Mock Draft. Enjoy

Round 1

1(1) Mitchell Trubisky (Cleveland) There was never any question Mitchell was not coming home to Ohio. With so many QB needy teams directly behind Cleveland, the Browns have no choice but to pull the trigger on their guy at #1.

1(2) Patrick Mahomes (Arizona) Rare In Division Trade with SF (SF Drops back to 12 and accumulates picks) Arians and Company driving this one as they view Mahomes as their guy for years to come.

1(25) Deshaun Watson (Houston) Bill O’Brien brings in something he has never had, a dual threat athletic quarterback who can still throw well. Don’t rule out Houston adding yet another QB later on.

1(27) Chad Kelly (Kansas City) Andy Reid takes a huge gamble on what he hopes to be Alex Smith’s eventual replacement.  

1(30) Deshone Kizer (Chicago)  Chicago Trades with Pitt to draft Kizer.

Round 2

2(39) Joshua Dobbs (NY Jets) Dobbs immediately competes for starting Job in a crowded QB room in New York. Dobbs athleticism makes him the favorite to win the job in 2017.

2(49) Nathan Peterman (Wash) If Kirk Cousins is dealt this would vault Peterman in an outright competition with McCoy and Sudfeld. If Cousins stays in WA this pick may not take place.

Round 3

3 (66) Philip Nelson (49ers) Kyle Shannahan reaches for a pure passing QB early as Nelson will come in and learn behind Brian Hoyer in 2017.

3 (69) C.J Beathard (LA Rams) New coach Sean McVay brings in a similar in a sense QB to Kirk Cousins who will compete from the outset with Jared Goff (Still will be Goff’s job to lose)

3 (103) Dane Evans (New Orleans) Saints take their QB of the future in round 3 as opposed to waiting until their next selection in round 6. Considered a reach but a calculated one by Sean Payton.

3 (105) Davis Webb (Steelers) Mike Tomlin brings in Davis Webb to compete with Landry Jones in 2017 and to eventually replace Ben.

Round 5

5 (148) Alek Torgersen (Jaguars) Coughlin and Company bring an a guy to Push Bortles and compete for the #2 job.

5 (151) Brad Kaaya (LA Chargers) The Chargers get a Developmental generally accurate QB to learn under Phil Rivers and hopefully take over in 2019.

5 (167) Garrett Fugate (D2) (New York Giants) Ben McAdoo gets a Trevor Siemian like QB to take over after Peyton’s younger brother retires or is released.

5 (169) Jack Nelson (D2) (Houston Texans) Houston gets another QB in the RG3/Kirk Cousins Model of 2012. And if we are being honest, Nelson has better Arm Talent than Deshaun Watson and will be competing with Watson in Houston..

Round 6

6 (186) Jerod Evans (Baltimore Ravens) Evans competes for backup job from Day 1

6 (195) Cooper Rush (Buffalo)

6 (210) Trevor Knight (Seattle Seahawks) Competes for backup job with Trevone Boykin from Day 1.

6 (211) Mitch Leidner (Dallas Cowboys) Cowboys OC Scott Linehan has faith that he can fix Leidner.

Round 7

7 (232) Patrick Towles, Boston College (Minnesota Vikings

7 (233) Gunner Kiel, Cincinnati (Carolina Panthers)

Prospect Scouting Report – Dane Evans, Tulsa

Author – Bryan Trulen

Dane Evans 6’0” 212 Tulsa

Image result for dane evans tulsa

(Image Credit – UT Athletics)

Read More about Dane Evans in our newest publication – 2017 College QB Prospect Guide

Overview

Dane Evans quietly had a very productive senior season at Tulsa throwing for over 3,300 yards and 32 touchdowns in leading Tulsa to a convincing victory against Central Michigan where he capped off his career in the Miami Beach Bowl by throwing for over 300 yards and five touchdowns. Evans was a three year starter at Tulsa who improved each year down in Green Country.

Film Notes – (2016) ECU, Fresno State, Tulane, Central Michigan (2015) Oklahoma  

Evans possesses a quick, natural delivery of the football. Shows the ability from the ground up to get the ball out in a hurry.  Decisive with pre snap reads operating from a shotgun based multiple receiver offense at Tulsa. Confident thrower who trusts what he sees and does not hesitate. Shows the ability to change trajectory throwing with velocity and touch when required. Innate feel for throwing his receivers open depending upon coverage. Solid internal clock. Anticipates windows with regularity within the intermediate game. Let it loose thrower. Single handedly kept Tulsa in the game against Oklahoma in 2015 by making throw after throw. Showed the ability to be consistently accurate at all levels while at Tulsa. Offense in college consisted of many short, predetermined throws that Evans mastered but won’t necessarily translate to the pro game. Film shows a quarterback who mastered the offensive down at Tulsa – something which carries weight.  Good but not great mechanics throwing the football. Reminds us a bit of Matt Barkley at times. Showed the ability to place the ball at the facemask level and in stride to short crossing routes. Sixth sense almost in terms of sensing when to get rid of the ball to open targets down the field, almost Drew Brees esque coming out of Purdue. You can tell he has an intuitive understanding of

where the ball should go against certain coverages. Undersized at just over 6’0” tall. Is going to have to be placed with a quarterback centric coaching staff in order to have a chance to develop at the next level.

Projection – Late round prospect who will surprise people when he gets into camp somewhere. Evans has the tools as a pure passer to garner serious consideration as a developmental prospect for a team. Look for Evans to possibly be selected in Round 6 or 7 but more than likely will be a priority UDFA.  

Trait Grades (D. Evans)

Arm Talent (B+)                            Toughness (B-)                                    Anticipation (A-)

Arm Strength (B)                           Pocket Presence (B)                           Football IQ (B+)

Ball Placement/Accuracy (B+)       Intangibles/Off-Field  (B-)                    Touch  (A-)

Delivery/Mechanics (B+)               Running Ability/Athleticism (C+)         Throw on Run (B)